Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000821 0.000881 0.000943 0.001014 0.001092 0.001176 0.001273
2025-12-28 0.000700 0.000776 0.000859 0.000957 0.001073 0.001203 0.001365
2026-01-04 0.000627 0.000711 0.000805 0.000922 0.001063 0.001231 0.001446
2026-01-11 0.000583 0.000673 0.000777 0.000909 0.001075 0.001278 0.001551
2026-01-18 0.000551 0.000646 0.000758 0.000905 0.001093 0.001332 0.001665
2026-01-25 0.000595 0.000713 0.000858 0.001053 0.001314 0.001663 0.002177
2026-02-01 0.000554 0.000670 0.000815 0.001015 0.001288 0.001660 0.002226
2026-02-08 0.000521 0.000637 0.000783 0.000987 0.001272 0.001669 0.002292
2026-02-15 0.000498 0.000614 0.000763 0.000975 0.001276 0.001706 0.002400
2026-02-22 0.000472 0.000587 0.000736 0.000951 0.001261 0.001713 0.002461
2026-03-01 0.000445 0.000557 0.000704 0.000916 0.001229 0.001691 0.002474
2026-03-08 0.000429 0.000540 0.000688 0.000906 0.001230 0.001720 0.002570
2026-03-15 0.000407 0.000517 0.000665 0.000887 0.001223 0.001743 0.002676
2026-03-22 0.000378 0.000483 0.000625 0.000840 0.001171 0.001692 0.002648
2026-03-29 0.000356 0.000458 0.000597 0.000810 0.001143 0.001678 0.002684
2026-04-05 0.000342 0.000443 0.000583 0.000800 0.001145 0.001711 0.002811
2026-04-12 0.000331 0.000432 0.000574 0.000796 0.001156 0.001762 0.002978
2026-04-19 0.000356 0.000474 0.000643 0.000919 0.001388 0.002225 0.004066
2026-04-26 0.000338 0.000452 0.000617 0.000887 0.001353 0.002197 0.004097
2026-05-03 0.000323 0.000434 0.000596 0.000865 0.001331 0.002193 0.004181
2026-05-10 0.000313 0.000423 0.000584 0.000854 0.001332 0.002231 0.004370
2026-05-17 0.000301 0.000408 0.000566 0.000834 0.001313 0.002228 0.004462
2026-05-24 0.000287 0.000390 0.000544 0.000806 0.001276 0.002187 0.004451